Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.046598 0.053556 0.060758 0.068736 0.077296 0.086172 0.096043
2025-06-29 0.037132 0.047608 0.059098 0.072474 0.087469 0.103626 0.122220
2025-07-06 0.029244 0.041435 0.055498 0.072549 0.092322 0.114231 0.140053
2025-07-13 0.026900 0.041004 0.057868 0.078878 0.103776 0.131843 0.165403
2025-07-20 0.020994 0.035305 0.053233 0.076329 0.104414 0.136711 0.175959
2025-07-27 0.018950 0.034226 0.053999 0.080052 0.112266 0.149778 0.195820
2025-08-03 0.016153 0.031725 0.052646 0.080897 0.116454 0.158402 0.210417
2025-08-10 0.013566 0.029152 0.050917 0.081034 0.119593 0.165647 0.223295
2025-08-17 0.010943 0.026134 0.048293 0.079772 0.120800 0.170426 0.233141
2025-08-24 0.008022 0.022126 0.043904 0.075858 0.118401 0.170616 0.237328
2025-08-31 0.006004 0.019230 0.040820 0.073460 0.117743 0.172789 0.243776
2025-09-07 0.004788 0.017546 0.039384 0.073204 0.119772 0.178226 0.254142
2025-09-14 0.003604 0.015768 0.037853 0.073037 0.122307 0.184833 0.266671
2025-09-21 0.003276 0.015828 0.039340 0.077341 0.131001 0.199462 0.289408
2025-09-28 0.002405 0.014316 0.038054 0.077477 0.134013 0.206848 0.303194
2025-10-05 0.002472 0.015273 0.041054 0.084057 0.145881 0.225651 0.331285
2025-10-12 0.001510 0.012945 0.038048 0.081412 0.144956 0.227916 0.338669
2025-10-19 0.001338 0.012974 0.039292 0.085277 0.153074 0.241914 0.360819
2025-10-26 0.000957 0.012051 0.038656 0.086154 0.156977 0.250415 0.376050
2025-11-02 0.000617 0.010981 0.037607 0.086296 0.159793 0.257466 0.389441
2025-11-09 0.000309 0.009590 0.035730 0.084986 0.160456 0.261628 0.399128
2025-11-16 0.000068 0.007628 0.032316 0.080924 0.156982 0.260176 0.401543
2025-11-23 0.000003 0.006270 0.029952 0.078433 0.155663 0.261506 0.407453